TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Casino Ad Spend in September
kalshi

Will casino ad spend increase?

Volume:
$35,468

Above 68

 - Kalshi

Above 68 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 68

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,504
N/A
N/A
$2,496
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 71

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,866
N/A
N/A
$1,712
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 69

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,292
N/A
N/A
$1,280
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 70

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 95

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,911
N/A
N/A
$3,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 91

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,867
N/A
N/A
$1,398
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 94

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,512
N/A
N/A
$1,543
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 77

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,211
N/A
N/A
$2,154
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,182
N/A
N/A
$1,511
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 85

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,835
N/A
N/A
$892
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 86

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,776
N/A
N/A
$1,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 89

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,691
N/A
N/A
$900
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 84

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,587
N/A
N/A
$542
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 88

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,523
N/A
N/A
$869
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 93

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,355
N/A
N/A
$1,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 87

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,342
N/A
N/A
$879
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 83

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
$530
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 80

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$575
N/A
N/A
$558
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 81

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
$543
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 78

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
$392
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 73

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 79

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$331
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 92

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$369
N/A
N/A
$319
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 75

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 74

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$237
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event tracks whether Carbon Arc's casino advertising expenditures for September 2026 exceed specific thresholds. The thresholds represent year-over-year growth compared to September 2025, with higher thresholds indicating greater growth. The outcome depends on the first reported value for that month.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Carbon Arc's Casino Ad Spend in September 2026, each defined by a specific numerical threshold ranging from 83 to 95. For any given threshold, if the reported Casino Ad Spend for September 2026 exceeds that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share a common resolution mechanism: the first value reported by Carbon Arc for September 2026 will be used to determine the outcome, and any corrections or revisions made after the market settlement will not affect the result. The index used measures year-over-year performance, where a value of 100 indicates equal spending compared to September 2025, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate a decline. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no affiliation with Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the casino ad spend market tracks the current price of contracts, reflecting predictions about total casino advertising expenditure in September. You can view the price history to see how expectations have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $4,664. The total volume traded on Kalshi for this market is $35,468. This provides a clear picture of market activity and sentiment surrounding casino ad spend.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the predictions embedded in this market to specific analyst forecasts without a dedicated survey. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or individual analyst reports. This can lead to differences in expected outcomes. If analysts are broadly predicting a certain range for casino ad spend, the price action in this market will reveal whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment, and to what degree.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final casino ad spend amount. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the collective market believes is the most likely scenario. The current price indicates the market's expectation for September casino ad spend, and changes in price signal shifts in those expectations based on new information or analysis.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final casino ad spend figure for September will be sourced from industry reports and data providers. The market will then settle to reflect whether the actual ad spend was above or below the price point at which contracts were traded. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the outcome will receive a payout.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Major announcements from casino companies regarding their marketing budgets, changes in economic indicators that affect consumer spending, and shifts in the regulatory landscape for gambling advertising could all have an impact. Unexpected events, such as a large-scale casino opening or a significant promotional campaign, could also move the market. Any news that alters expectations about overall casino revenue or marketing strategies is likely to be reflected in trading activity.