TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 2, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks year-over-year changes in consumer spending on C4 Energy products during September 2026, using a specific index to measure growth or decline compared to the same month in the previous year. The index is derived from a panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold (ranging from 101 to 113). The index measures year-over-year spending changes, where 100 indicates no change, values above 100 signify growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Data is sourced from Carbon Arc’s point-of-sale receipt panel, which tracks purchases via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily. Settlement is determined by the first value reported by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after settlement do not affect the outcome. Kalshi is not affiliated with or connected to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, C4 Energy's official September financial statements or reputable sources citing those results will determine whether the sales growth meets defined thresholds. Traders should monitor earnings releases, SEC filings, and trusted business news outlets as resolution approaches.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key catalysts include C4 Energy's quarterly earnings calls, unexpected changes in oil or natural gas prices affecting revenue, regulatory announcements impacting sales channels, and broader macroeconomic data influencing consumer spending. Positive or negative news coverage, inventory reports, and competitor performance may also cause volatility. Traders on Kalshi will react quickly to any data shaping expectations for September sales growth.