TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 07d:07h:17m
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These markets assess different levels of year-over-year growth in C4 Energy's point-of-sale transactions for October 2026. The growth is measured using an index where 100 represents equal sales compared to the same month last year, with higher values indicating greater growth. The data comes from a panel that tracks in-store and online purchases through receipt scanning and rewards apps.
All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth index for October 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold (104, 108, 110, 112, 114, 116, or 120). The index measures year-over-year percentage change in point-of-sale spending, where 100 indicates no change from the prior year, values above 100 indicate growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. Determination occurs on the finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the second calendar day following the end of October 2026. The index is calculated using a receipt panel that captures in-store and online purchases through receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period in the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data becomes available. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or connected to the underlying company, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence. Often, this market demonstrates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially outperforming individual expert predictions. However, it’s important to note that analysts may consider factors not fully captured in the market, such as qualitative insights or proprietary data. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies and information access. Examining these differences can help you form a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome for C4 Energy sales growth.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current market price represents the aggregated view of all participants, offering a forward-looking assessment of C4 Energy’s sales performance.
This market resolves around Nov 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding C4 Energy’s point of sale growth in October. This data will be assessed to determine whether the market resolves in favor of a positive or negative growth outcome. The specific details of the growth percentage are defined within the market’s parameters on Kalshi, and the final result will be based on that established benchmark.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding C4 Energy’s distribution agreements, marketing campaigns, or competitive landscape could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases, particularly those related to consumer spending or the energy drink industry, could also play a role. Furthermore, reports on overall retail sales trends or shifts in consumer preferences could influence trading activity. Positive or negative press coverage, and even social media trends, may contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.