TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks Burger King's foot traffic performance for September 2026 using a year-over-year index. The index compares visitor numbers to the same month in the previous year, with values above 100 indicating growth. The outcome depends on whether the reported index meets or exceeds specific thresholds.
All markets in this event are resolved based on the Carbon Arc Burger King Foot Traffic index for September 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in foot traffic, with 100 representing equal visits compared to the prior year, values above 100 indicating growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. The index is derived from mobile location data across over 200 million devices, normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays, and matched to the same calendar days as the prior year. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 94.5 to 102.5), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the first reported index value for September 2026 meets or exceeds its respective threshold. No corrections or revisions after the initial report affect the resolution.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may issue reports based on historical trends, economic indicators, and company performance, while traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on real-time data, news, and sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially around events like promotions or economic shifts. Monitoring both can provide a fuller picture of market expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on authoritative data sources tracking foot traffic during the specified period. Once confirmed, the market settles based on whether the reported figures meet the defined thresholds for each possible outcome.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Key events include Burger King’s promotional campaigns, changes in consumer behavior due to weather or economic conditions, and broader industry trends affecting fast-food traffic. Additionally, unexpected news such as supply chain disruptions or public health developments could influence trader sentiment. Monitoring these developments will be essential for anticipating price swings in the coming weeks.