TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:51 PM EST
Predict
Description
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Predict
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Frequently asked questions
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Bulgarian presidential election. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and aggregated forecast. This mechanism allows the market to efficiently synthesize diverse opinions and information into a single, quantifiable prediction.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official results announced by the relevant electoral authorities in Bulgaria following the presidential election. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The final outcome will be determined by the official vote count and any subsequent legal challenges or recounts.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movements in this market. Key events such as candidate debates, major policy announcements, and significant shifts in public opinion will likely drive changes in the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected endorsements, scandals, or geopolitical developments could also have a substantial impact. Furthermore, the overall economic climate in Bulgaria and regional political dynamics may play a role in shaping trader sentiment and influencing the direction of this market.
