TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.8b
24H VOL:
$74,181,016
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,154,996,029
338,616
Markets across
33,298
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,232
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
$77,500 to 77,999.99
- Kalshi
$77,500 to 77,999.99 - Kalshi
30%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 21
Aug 23
Aug 23
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 26
Aug 27
Vol.
$23.6k
·
Resolves Aug 28, 2026
Time left: 01d:12h:11m
$
This event tracks Bitcoin's price performance at a specific future moment, using a standardized benchmark to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within predefined ranges at the exact closing time, offering multiple possible results based on precise thresholds.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, with the market resolving to 'Yes' for the applicable range and 'No' for all others. The official price is determined by collecting 60 RTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that while external sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the definitive value comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' BRTI methodology.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible price ranges for Bitcoin. The current odds displayed — approximately 12.0% for the top outcome — emerge from this open trading activity. Liquidity levels and recent trades help determine where the market finds equilibrium, reflecting the collective view of participants about the likely range by Aug 28, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. By that point, the actual price of Bitcoin at the specified time will be checked against the defined ranges. Whatever range contains the confirmed price determines the winning side, closing all positions and paying out successful traders based on their positions.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major economic announcements, regulatory updates affecting crypto exchanges, or unexpected technological developments around Bitcoin mining or adoption could all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broad market movements in traditional assets, geopolitical tensions, or significant institutional activity may cause volatility that re-prices the odds. Keep an eye on both crypto-specific news and wider financial headlines.