TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the AVGO/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AVGO/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AVGO/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/avgo-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AVGO/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the AVGO/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AVGO/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AVGO/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/avgo-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AVGO/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue buy or sell recommendations based on fundamental analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of information, risk tolerance, or the inclusion of factors not typically considered in standard financial models. It’s common to see this market diverge from consensus estimates, especially in the lead-up to significant events or earnings releases.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Broadcom's stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Broadcom Inc. stock during the specified timeframe – 9:45AM to 10:00AM ET on October 29th – will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy in determining the final result of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 29, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from Broadcom, announcements regarding new product launches or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic news affecting the semiconductor industry. Any significant shifts in investor sentiment, driven by news related to competition or regulatory changes, could also cause substantial price movements. Furthermore, general market volatility and overall economic conditions will play a role in shaping the probabilities reflected in this market.