TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
BrightSpring Health will publish its home health average daily census for Q3 2026, showing the average number of home health patients receiving care each day during that quarter.
The event resolves based on BrightSpring Health Services, Inc.'s reported home health average daily census for Q3 2026. If the reported figure exceeds any of the specified thresholds—46,800, 47,000, 47,200, 47,400, 47,600, or 47,800—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Kalshi notes it has no official connection to BrightSpring Health, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer their projections based on reports and historical performance, the odds here capture a real-time aggregation of bets and sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is more optimistic or pessimistic about the census figures than established research houses.
This market resolves around Mar 6, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final average daily census for the Q3 period will be the decisive factor, drawn from official company releases or trusted healthcare industry databases.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Earnings reports, regulatory updates, changes in healthcare policy, or broader economic trends affecting home health demand may all influence trader sentiment. Any news that impacts BrightSpring Health’s operational performance or market position could cause rapid adjustments in odds as participants reassess their positions.