TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais
polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Volume:
$96,110

Flavio Bolsonaro

 - Polymarket

Flavio Bolsonaro - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 2:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Flavio Bolsonaro

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$43,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Lula

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zema

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pablo Marçal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Clariana Barao

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Samara

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Renan Santos

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Edmilson Costa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rui Costa Pimenta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Escritor Augusto Cury

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hertz Dias

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ronaldo Caiado

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$473
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Minas Gerais, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Minas Gerais. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Minas Gerais. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the Minas Gerais vote leader market, along with 24-hour volume of $12,777. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of each candidate finishing first in Minas Gerais during the Brazil presidential election first round. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the candidate receiving the most votes in Minas Gerais during the first round of the Brazil presidential election. No additional criteria or complex calculations are involved — the simple plurality winner determines the result.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution: local polling updates specific to Minas Gerais, major candidate debates or public appearances in the state, economic announcements impacting regional voter sentiment, and any controversy or scandal directly affecting candidate popularity there. Media coverage focusing on the state’s voting trends may also influence trader sentiment and price movement on Polymarket as the election approaches.