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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas
polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Volume:
$18,495

Lula

 - Polymarket

Lula - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:25 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Lula

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Flavio Bolsonaro

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Edmilson Costa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$799
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zema

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ronaldo Caiado

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rui Costa Pimenta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hertz Dias

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Clariana Barao

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pablo Marçal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Escritor Augusto Cury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Samara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$491
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Renan Santos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Polymarket

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Alagoas presidential vote leader market, alongside real-time volume of $18,495 and 24-hour volume of $1,253. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of each candidate finishing first in Alagoas' first-round vote. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity as the election approaches.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through buying and selling contracts that pay out based on the election result in Alagoas. The current price reflects the collective judgment of participants about which candidate will finish first, with liquidity and volume influencing how quickly prices adjust. Market dynamics — such as new polls, candidate announcements, or regional voting trends — can shift pricing rapidly as traders react to information.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results from Alagoas are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the candidate who receives the most votes in that state during the first round of the Brazil presidential election. Official results from the electoral authority and widely reported news sources will determine the final settlement, aligning market contracts with the actual vote tally.

Key events such as regional debates, candidate scandals, or shifts in campaign momentum could move this market. Performance in televised debates, especially those focusing on regional issues, may sway voter preferences in Alagoas. Local polling releases, endorsements from influential figures, and any last-minute policy announcements are also likely to impact trader sentiment and shift odds before Oct 5, 2026.