TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET

Volume:
$419

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 30, 2026

Closed: Apr 29, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

BNB Up or Down - April 29, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$630 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

$625 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
kalshi

$620 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$525 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$530 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$535 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$540 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$545 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$550 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$555 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$560 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$565 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$570 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$575 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$580 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$585 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$590 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$595 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$600 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$605 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$610 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$615 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$635 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BNB/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BNB_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BNB/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct resolution methodologies: Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI 60-second average (pre-5 PM snapshot) across 40 price-level thresholds; Polymarket uses Binance BNB/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close (starting at 5 PM). Data source, measurement window, and granularity differ fundamentally.Hero tip: Kalshi markets resolve based on a pre-5 PM price snapshot from a professional benchmark index; Polymarket resolves based on a post-5 PM 1-hour candle from Binance spot. These measure different time periods and sources. If you trade both, treat them as separate bets and do not assume correlation or hedging benefit.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 40 independent binary markets, each resolving Yes if CF Benchmarks BNBUSD_RTI 60-second simple average (measured in the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT on April 29, 2026) exceeds a specific threshold. Thresholds range from $519.99 to $714.99 in $5 increments. Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary market resolving to Up if BNB/USDT close price >= open price for the 1-hour candle beginning at 5 PM EDT on April 29, 2026. Data source is Binance BNB/USDT spot pair. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BNB/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.