TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.9b

24H VOL:

$106,489,002

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,181,535,005

338,833

Markets across

33,624

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,320

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Bitcoin price on August 27?
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin price on August 27?

Aug 20, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$260,788
Volume 24h:
$246,357
2,344%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$131,782N/A

80,000-82,000

 - Polymarket

80,000-82,000 - Polymarket

100%

+1%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

6
4
3
3
5
3
5
4
2
4
11

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$15.2k

·

Resolves Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 12:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group tracks the price of Bitcoin on August 27 across multiple bracket markets. Each market resolves based on whether the Bitcoin price falls within a specific price range or exceeds a threshold, as determined by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 27.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets use the same resolution criteria: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 27, with tie-breaking rules favoring the higher bracket.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 27

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 27 as the settlement value
  • If the price falls exactly between two brackets, resolve to the higher range bracket
  • The market for "greater than $82,000" resolves to "Yes" if the price exceeds $82,000, otherwise "No"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Bracket Boundary: If the price exactly matches a bracket boundary, the market resolves to the higher range bracket
  • Market Closure: If Binance is unavailable at the specified time, use the last available price before noon ET on August 27
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closes at noon ET on August 27Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Bitcoin price market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of different outcomes. It provides a consensus view of market expectations and tracks volume of $1,922 and 24-hour volume of $1,136, letting users see where the collective wisdom lands as we approach the event date.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking perspective that often diverges from current spot prices. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates expectations about future macroeconomic signals, exchange flows, and major news events. Traders may price in shifts that haven’t yet appeared in live markets, making odds both a leading and trailing indicator of sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final price point on that day, captured from reliable, widely accepted data feeds, determines which side of the market is settled as the winner.

Macroeconomic announcements, including central bank policies or inflation data, often shift expectations for crypto valuations and directly impact this market. Major technological upgrades to Bitcoin’s network, regulatory developments affecting exchange access, and geopolitical tensions that influence investor risk appetite can also cause rapid price swings. As Aug 27, 2026 approaches, short-term trading volume spikes around key economic calendars or high-profile cybersecurity incidents may further sway the odds here.