TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.5b

24H VOL:

$110,004,045

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,568,758

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,189,390,228

309,549

Markets across

30,215

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,079

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Science and Technology
Entertainment
Bitcoin price on August 23?
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin price on August 23?

Aug 16, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Aug 23, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$43,884
Volume 24h:
$21,883
342%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$26,859N/A

>72,000

 - Polymarket

>72,000 - Polymarket

100%

+1.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

0%20%40%60%80%

Aug 16

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Vol.

$9.4k

·

Resolves Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 12:22 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event group tracks the price of Bitcoin on August 23, with multiple markets covering different price ranges and a binary outcome for prices below $54,000 or above $72,000.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets use the same price source (Binance BTC/USDT) and the same timestamp (12:00 ET on August 23) to determine resolution, with identical boundary rules for range markets.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 23

Core resolution logic:

  • Use the Binance BTC/USDT pair, 1-minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 23
  • Range markets are exclusive lower bound, inclusive upper bound (e.g., $54,000-$56,000 means >$54,000 and ≤$56,000)
  • If price falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, the higher range market resolves as 'Yes'
  • The '<$54,000' market resolves 'Yes' only if price is ≤$54,000
  • The '>$72,000' market resolves 'Yes' only if price is >$72,000

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Boundary: If Bitcoin closes at exactly $56,000, the $54,000-$56,000 market resolves 'No' and the $56,000-$58,000 market resolves 'Yes'
  • Market Overlap: No overlap exists between markets — each dollar range is covered exactly once, with boundaries handled by the higher range rule
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Binance 1-minute candle closes at 12:00 ET on August 23, 2024Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Show more

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final "Close" price of the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title falls within the price range specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price market dashboard tracks aggregated predictions across multiple venues for the Bitcoin price market. It shows how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of various price ranges as of now, with current consensus reflected in combined chance percentages. The dashboard updates in real time to show shifting market sentiment and volume trends, letting users see where the most activity and agreement exist ahead of Aug 23, 2026. This multi-platform view offers a snapshot of collective expectations for Bitcoin's price direction in the coming months.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from the current spot price. In this market, traders are pricing in anticipated moves and volatility around Aug 23, 2026. The current chances reflect collective sentiment, which may be more bullish or bearish than the live price, depending on recent trends and upcoming events.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the objective Bitcoin price at that specific moment, ensuring a clear and transparent conclusion for all participants.

Macroeconomic news, including central bank policies or inflation reports, can shift expectations for crypto markets and move this market. Major technological upgrades to Bitcoin’s network, regulatory announcements from key governments, and large institutional trades or investment flows also influence trader sentiment. Geopolitical tensions or shifts in traditional asset classes may drive investors toward or away from Bitcoin, altering odds. Any unexpected black swan event close to Aug 23, 2026 could cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their views on where the price will land.