TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.7b

24H VOL:

$99,691,144

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,340,574,887

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,132,040,003

309,402

Markets across

29,839

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,190

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 30?
🌟New
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin above ___ on August 30?

Aug 23, 2026, 12:16 PM EST - Aug 30, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$190
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$54,023
0%
Open interest:
$190N/A

68,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

98.9%

Opinion

N/A

consensus

98.9%

-1.1%

spread

98.9-98.9%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

97%97.5%98%98.5%99%99.5%

No volume data

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 24

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 30, 2026

Time left: 06d:14h:29m

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 30?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98.9¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 96% 6 days to resolution
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 0¢ buys you 0 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $0 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: Infinityx | ROI: 0% APY not meaningful 6 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets resolves based on whether Bitcoin's price will be above specified thresholds on August 30, using Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET as the definitive source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets use identical resolution logic based on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 30.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 30

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution depends on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 30
  • "Yes" if close price > specified threshold; "No" otherwise
  • Price precision matches Binance's native decimal precision for BTC/USDT

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Market Close Timing: If Binance experiences technical issues during the resolution window, the most recent valid candle before the scheduled time will be used
  • Threshold Matching: If the close price exactly matches the threshold, the market resolves as "No" (strictly above requirement)
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the 12:00 ET candle closes on August 30Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment, often diverging from short-term spot price moves. In this market, odds capture longer-term expectations around Bitcoin’s value, pricing in macro factors, exchange flows, and investor sentiment. While spot prices can swing rapidly on news or volatility, this market tends to smooth out noise, focusing instead on whether Bitcoin closes above a specific threshold by the deadline.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closing exchanges and widely accepted data sources to determine whether Bitcoin ends above the target level, at which point the market settles based on that snapshot.

Macroeconomic announcements, major exchange updates, regulatory news, and shifts in institutional Bitcoin holdings could all influence this market. Additionally, unexpected volatility from geopolitical events or large-scale adoption announcements often drives rapid re-pricing. Traders will also monitor key support and resistance levels, as breaches can trigger momentum that pushes odds toward either outcome before Aug 30, 2026.