TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.9b

24H VOL:

$123,098,812

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,328,557,186

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,187,194,027

321,824

Markets across

31,613

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,058

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?

Bitcoin above ___ on August 29?

Aug 22, 2026, 12:17 PM EST - Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$239
Volume 24h:
$214N/A
Liquidity:
$51,122
2%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

66,000

 - Polymarket

66,000 - Polymarket

99%

-0.3%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

97%97.5%98%98.5%99%99.5%

No volume data

Aug 22

Aug 22

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 29, 2026

Time left: 06d:23h:03m

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 29?

98%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets resolves based on whether Bitcoin's price will be above specified thresholds ($66,000 to $86,000) at noon ET on August 29, using Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price as the definitive source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets use identical resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 29 determines outcome, with thresholds explicitly stated in market titles.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 29

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves to Yes if Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 29 is strictly higher than the threshold specified in the market title
  • Market resolves to No if the close price is equal to or below the threshold
  • Price precision matches Binance's native reporting (typically 2 decimal places for USDT pairs)
Timing: Resolution occurs after the completion of the Binance 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 ET on August 29, 2024 (UTC time: 16:00 UTC)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price market dashboard aggregates predictions from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting a specific level by Aug 29, 2026. It displays current probabilities, volume of $0 and 24-hour volume of $0, plus cross-platform consensus. This real-time view lets users compare outlooks and spot shifts in market sentiment as the event date approaches.

In this market, prediction odds reflect collective trader sentiment about where Bitcoin will trade by Aug 29, 2026. Currently, probabilities suggest a strong bias toward higher prices, though they may diverge from short-term spot movements. These markets often price in longer-term expectations and macro signals, offering a complementary view to live exchange data.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch exchange data and news sources closely as the date approaches, but the final result depends on whether Bitcoin closes above the target level at the specified time.

Macroeconomic news, major crypto exchange updates, and regulatory announcements often drive shifts in this market. Traders will watch key economic data, central bank policies, and any large institutional Bitcoin activity. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, sentiment around these events could cause rapid changes in probability, so staying alert to news feeds and market depth is essential for anyone tracking this market.