TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$120,883,798

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,317,432,675

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,158,863,245

326,831

Markets across

32,024

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,989

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 28?
🌟New
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin above ___ on August 28?

Aug 21, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Aug 28, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$9,355
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$9,810
0%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

70,000

all

2 markets

Polymarket

100%

Opinion

N/A

consensus

100%

+0.7%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

97.5%98%98.5%99%99.5%

No volume data

Aug 21

Aug 21

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 06d:22h:53m

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets resolves based on whether Bitcoin's price will exceed various thresholds ($68,000 to $88,000) on August 28, as measured by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET on August 28 to determine resolution.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 28

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET on August 28
  • If the close price is above the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No
  • Price precision is determined by Binance's BTC/USDT trading pair, typically to 2 decimal places

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Candle timestamp mismatch: If there is any discrepancy in Binance's timestamp for the 12:00 ET candle, the official Binance timestamp will govern resolution
  • Trading halt: If Binance halts trading during the relevant candle period, the last traded price before the halt will be used as the close price
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the 12:00 ET Binance 1-minute candle closes on August 28Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks aggregated predictions across platforms for the Bitcoin price market, showing how traders price the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting certain levels by Aug 28, 2026. It displays consensus views and volume trends from multiple venues, letting users see where market sentiment is concentrated. The dashboard updates in real time as new bets are placed, reflecting the collective wisdom of participants on Polymarket and Opinion. With a volume of $9,355, it offers a clear picture of market expectations and shifts in trader confidence leading up to the resolution date.

Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices, incorporating trader expectations of future volatility and macroeconomic factors. In this market, odds reflect the probability of Bitcoin reaching a specific level by Aug 28, 2026, which may be higher or lower than recent trading ranges depending on perceived risks and bullish or bearish sentiment. These markets can react faster than spot prices to news, technical breakouts, or shifts in investor sentiment, providing an early indicator of potential price moves. Comparing odds to spot helps identify mispricings and anticipate shifts in market momentum.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on widely accepted data sources that confirm whether the condition was met, ensuring transparency and trust for all participants.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 28, 2026. Key events include major economic announcements, changes in Bitcoin ETF inflows or outflows, regulatory updates from key jurisdictions, and unexpected technological developments like network upgrades or security incidents. Broader market volatility, shifts in risk appetite, and macroeconomic data—such as interest rate decisions—can also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, high-profile institutional trades, changes in mining activity, or geopolitical tensions may impact expectations, causing rapid repricing of odds on platforms as participants adjust their views.