TOTAL VOLUME:

$114b

24H VOL:

$119,408,734

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1,307,273,240

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$1,135,817,148

320,489

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2,917

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5

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42%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?
🌟New
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin above ___ on August 27?

Aug 20, 2026, 12:01 PM EST - Aug 27, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

82,000

 - Polymarket

82,000 - Polymarket

100%

+0%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

98%98.5%99%99.5%

No volume data

Aug 20

Aug 20

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Aug 27, 2026

Time left: 06d:23h:13m

polymarket

Polymarket

Trade
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group of markets resolves based on whether Bitcoin's price will be above specified thresholds ($62,000 to $82,000) on August 27, using Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at noon ET as the definitive source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same resolution source and logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 27, compared against the specified threshold.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 27

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 27
  • If the close price is strictly above the specified threshold, the market resolves as 'Yes'
  • If the close price is at or below the specified threshold, the market resolves as 'No'

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Threshold Equality: If the price equals the threshold exactly, the market resolves as 'No' since the condition requires being 'above' the threshold
  • Data Availability: If Binance experiences a technical issue preventing the candle from closing at 12:00 ET, the market resolves based on the next available valid candle close
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the 12:00 ET Binance 1-minute candle closes on August 27Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

On multiple platforms, the Bitcoin price market aggregates predictions about whether Bitcoin’s value will exceed a specific threshold by a set date. This dashboard shows real-time probabilities, volume of $0, and 24-hour volume of $0 from across venues. It provides a consensus view of market expectations, letting users compare how traders on different sites price the same question. Because this market is followed on several prediction platforms, the dashboard helps spot trends and divergences in crowd-sourced forecasts for the Bitcoin price movement.

In this market, prediction odds reflect trader sentiment about Bitcoin’s future price, often diverging from short-term spot movements. While spot prices can swing on news or macro shifts, market probabilities incorporate broader expectations — including macro trends and upcoming events. This gap allows traders to bet on directional views beyond immediate market noise, with odds adjusting as new information emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch real-time price feeds and major news sources as the date approaches, but the final result hinges on objective, publicly available data at that specific moment — no subjective judgment is involved.

Between now and resolution, key signals include major economic announcements, regulatory updates, and shifts in cryptocurrency adoption trends. Any sudden volatility in Bitcoin’s spot price, large institutional trades, or geopolitical developments could also reshape expectations. Traders often adjust positions rapidly in response, especially as Aug 27, 2026 nears, driving significant shifts in market odds ahead of the final outcome.