TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.5b

24H VOL:

$88,584,025

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,361,103,189

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,156,797,162

328,564

Markets across

33,078

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,111

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Bitcoin above ___ on August 26?
Crypto
polymarket
opinion

Bitcoin above ___ on August 26?

Aug 19, 2026, 12:00 PM EST - Aug 26, 2026, 12:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$1,414,581
Volume 24h:
$911,129
195%
Liquidity:
$375,669
44%
Open interest:
$632,037N/A

84,000

 - Polymarket

84,000 - Polymarket

0.1%

-36.5%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

3
3
3
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2
2
3
3
2
2
3
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Aug 24

Aug 24

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 26

Vol.

$119k

·

Resolves Aug 26, 2026

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 26?

0%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 14

Description

This group of markets centers around predicting whether the price of Bitcoin will exceed various thresholds on August 26. Each market specifies a different price level, and the outcome depends on the closing price of Bitcoin on Binance at a specific time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion use the same resolution criteria: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 26 determines if the price is above the specified threshold.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET on August 26

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the Binance BTC/USDT pair, using the 1-minute candle close price at exactly 12:00 ET (noon) on August 26.
  • Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., $58,000, $60,000, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the close price is above that threshold, otherwise 'No'.
  • Price precision is determined by Binance's BTC/USDT pricing, typically to 2 decimal places.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the Binance 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on August 26 closes.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin price market dashboard aggregates predictions across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of Bitcoin hitting a specific level by Aug 26, 2026. It displays consensus odds, volume of $122,622, and 24-hour volume of $13,130 from platforms like Polymarket and Opinion. This real-time view helps users compare expectations and spot trends in the short_topic, offering a snapshot of collective market sentiment as the event date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than direct spot price data. In this market, odds capture the probability of Bitcoin being above a certain threshold by Aug 26, 2026, which may diverge from current spot prices due to expectations of volatility, macroeconomic factors, or major news events. For example, if spot prices are stable but odds imply a high probability of a surge, traders are pricing in potential upside not yet reflected in the actual price. This divergence can signal anticipated moves or risk assessments embedded in the market.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on the closing price of Bitcoin on that specific date, checked against independent, reliable sources to ensure transparency and accuracy for all participants.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major economic announcements, especially from central banks influencing global liquidity, unexpected regulatory moves targeting crypto exchanges, and significant developments in Bitcoin adoption such as large institutional purchases or technological upgrades. Geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic data releases also frequently impact risk appetite, driving traders to adjust their positioning as new information emerges.