TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.2b
24H VOL:
$81,517,990
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,351,258,445
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,140,494,451
319,225
Markets across
31,623
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,653
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
76,000
- Polymarket
76,000 - Polymarket
100%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 25
Aug 25
Aug 25
Vol.
$234.2k
·
Resolves Aug 25, 2026
Polymarket
This group of markets resolves based on whether Bitcoin's closing price on Binance at noon ET on August 25 exceeds specified thresholds. The markets are binary outcomes (Yes/No) determined by a single data point from a specific exchange and time window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment, often diverging from short-term spot price movements due to longer-term outlooks and market positioning. In this market, odds incorporate macro factors, technical analysis, and upcoming events that could influence Bitcoin’s value. While spot prices may fluctuate daily, prediction markets price in probabilities over the event window, sometimes showing stronger conviction or skepticism about future levels than current exchange rates.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the market settles based on whether Bitcoin’s price meets the target level as defined in the contract. The process relies on widely accepted data sources to ensure transparency and fairness for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes: major economic announcements, regulatory updates, technological developments in Bitcoin’s network, or unexpected macroeconomic shocks. Institutional trades, large exchange inflows or outflows, and sentiment shifts driven by influential figures can also create volatility. Traders often watch these cues closely, as each has the potential to alter probability assessments in the run-up to Aug 25, 2026.