TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.7b
24H VOL:
$99,401,033
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,177,208,320
335,484
Markets across
33,267
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,184
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
$
This market tracks whether Betmoar's official token will exceed a $20M fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its public launch. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows a leading outcome of 44.5%, with a secondary outcome of 25.5% for exceeding $50M. Resolution will be determined by the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the official launch, verified against Betmoar's social channels. Watch for the official Betmoar token launch, scheduled for January 1, 2028, as this will trigger the FDV calculation and market resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Prediction market odds reflect forward-looking consensus on Betmoar's FDV trajectory rather than current spot price. Markets price in launch momentum, initial liquidity conditions, and early trading demand. The aggregated odds across Polymarket and Predict represent collective expectations of whether the token will achieve the target valuation within the first 24 hours post-launch. These odds often diverge from pre-launch price guidance because they incorporate real-time sentiment shifts, macro conditions, and evolving participant conviction as launch approaches.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict serve different trader bases with varying liquidity depths, fee structures, and user demographics. Polymarket currently shows 44.0% probability while Predict reflects 39.0%, a spread of 5.0 percentage points. Differences arise from timing of large trades, regional user concentration, platform-specific incentives, and varying access to Betmoar project information. Arbitrage opportunities between venues may persist until traders actively rebalance positions across both markets.
The market resolves on Jan 1, 2028. Resolution hinges on whether Betmoar's fully diluted valuation reaches the specified threshold exactly one day after the token's official launch. The outcome is determined by verifiable on-chain and market data captured at the resolution timestamp. Traders should monitor official Betmoar announcements for precise launch timing, as the one-day window is calculated from that moment. Early clarity on launch timing helps participants refine their positions before expiration.
Key catalysts include official launch date confirmation, token unlock schedules, exchange listing announcements, and early trading volume on decentralized venues. Major partnerships or ecosystem integrations revealed pre-launch could boost initial valuation. Conversely, regulatory concerns, competitor announcements, or broader crypto market downturns may suppress FDV. Liquidity conditions on launch day, initial whale accumulation patterns, and social sentiment momentum all influence whether Betmoar achieves the target valuation within 24 hours. Market participants should track Betmoar's official channels and on-chain metrics closely.