TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.7b

24H VOL:

$99,401,033

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,177,208,320

335,484

Markets across

33,267

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,184

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?

44%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$20M

44%
Yes 45¢No 57¢
$18,105
$21,249
0.31%
0.34%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
predict

$20M

39%
Yes 41.9¢No 63.9¢
5.8¢
$1,334
$94,880
0%
0%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
41.5%
Yes 43.5¢No 60.5¢
Avg: 3.9¢Max: 5.8¢
polymarket

$50M

24%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
$12,111
$3,940
0%
3%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
predict

$50M

22%
Yes 23.8¢No 79.8¢
3.6¢
$32,222
$61,032
0%
7%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
23%
Yes 24.4¢No 78.4¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3.6¢
predict

$100M

17%
Yes 17.7¢No 83¢
0.7¢
$30,281
$75,160
0%
0.02%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
polymarket

$100M

17%
Yes 18¢No 84¢
$12,307
$7,600
0%
0.13%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
17%
Yes 17.8¢No 83.5¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max:
predict

$400M

8%
1%
Yes No 92.8¢
1.8¢
$81,066
$23,916
0%
0.29%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
polymarket

$400M

8%
Yes No 93¢
$12,384
$1,212
0%
0%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
8%
Yes 8.5¢No 92.9¢
Avg: 1.4¢Max: 1.8¢
predict

$200M

8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.2¢
0.1¢
$64,240
$305,319
0%
0.04%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
polymarket

$200M

7%
Yes 7.7¢No 93.3¢
$12,395
$2,836
0%
0.71%
N/A
1y 4mo 1w
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
7.5%
Yes 7.8¢No 92.8¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max:
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether Betmoar's official token will exceed a $20M fully diluted valuation exactly one day after its public launch. The aggregated consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows a leading outcome of 44.5%, with a secondary outcome of 25.5% for exceeding $50M. Resolution will be determined by the most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the official launch, verified against Betmoar's social channels. Watch for the official Betmoar token launch, scheduled for January 1, 2028, as this will trigger the FDV calculation and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria, timing definitions, token qualification rules, and FDV calculation methodology across all five threshold markets ($20M, $50M, $100M, $200M, $400M).Primary resolution logic: Most liquid price source available at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following official Betmoar token launch, verified against official Betmoar social channels (@betmoardotfun on X/Twitter).

Core resolution logic:

  • Token must be officially launched by Betmoar and actively tradable on public markets to qualify
  • Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs (Liquid Staking Tokens), and synthetic tokens are explicitly excluded
  • FDV = Total Token Supply × Token Price at resolution timestamp
  • Resolution timestamp is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day immediately following launch date
  • Price sourced from most liquid available market at resolution time
  • If no official token launches by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, market resolves NO

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Multiple token launches: Only an official token directly launched by Betmoar qualifies; community-created or third-party tokens do not count
  • Launch timing ambiguity: Launch is defined as when token becomes actively and publicly tradable; resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET the next calendar day
  • Liquidity source unavailable: Resolution uses most liquid price source available; if multiple sources exist, the most liquid takes precedence
  • Token reclassification: If token is later determined to be a stablecoin, memecoin, LST, or synthetic, it does not qualify and market resolves NO
  • Deadline expiration: If Betmoar has not launched an official token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all threshold markets resolve NO regardless of FDV
Timing: Resolution occurs at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following official token launch. If no launch occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve NO.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Betmoar's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Betmoar will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Betmoar (https://x.com/betmoardotfun) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time odds for whether Betmoar's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within one day of token launch. It tracks consensus across Polymarket and Predict, displaying the current probability that the event occurs. The combined group volume across platforms is $596,976, with $1,280 traded in the last 24 hours. By monitoring both venues simultaneously, traders gain a cross-platform view of market conviction around Betmoar's immediate post-launch valuation performance.

Prediction market odds reflect forward-looking consensus on Betmoar's FDV trajectory rather than current spot price. Markets price in launch momentum, initial liquidity conditions, and early trading demand. The aggregated odds across Polymarket and Predict represent collective expectations of whether the token will achieve the target valuation within the first 24 hours post-launch. These odds often diverge from pre-launch price guidance because they incorporate real-time sentiment shifts, macro conditions, and evolving participant conviction as launch approaches.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict serve different trader bases with varying liquidity depths, fee structures, and user demographics. Polymarket currently shows 44.0% probability while Predict reflects 39.0%, a spread of 5.0 percentage points. Differences arise from timing of large trades, regional user concentration, platform-specific incentives, and varying access to Betmoar project information. Arbitrage opportunities between venues may persist until traders actively rebalance positions across both markets.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2028. Resolution hinges on whether Betmoar's fully diluted valuation reaches the specified threshold exactly one day after the token's official launch. The outcome is determined by verifiable on-chain and market data captured at the resolution timestamp. Traders should monitor official Betmoar announcements for precise launch timing, as the one-day window is calculated from that moment. Early clarity on launch timing helps participants refine their positions before expiration.

Key catalysts include official launch date confirmation, token unlock schedules, exchange listing announcements, and early trading volume on decentralized venues. Major partnerships or ecosystem integrations revealed pre-launch could boost initial valuation. Conversely, regulatory concerns, competitor announcements, or broader crypto market downturns may suppress FDV. Liquidity conditions on launch day, initial whale accumulation patterns, and social sentiment momentum all influence whether Betmoar achieves the target valuation within 24 hours. Market participants should track Betmoar's official channels and on-chain metrics closely.