TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Best AI this week?
kalshi

Best AI this week?

Volume:
$150,473

Claude

 - Kalshi

Claude - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 18, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Claude

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$38,355
N/A
N/A
$29,428
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,837
N/A
N/A
$45,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Gemini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,926
N/A
N/A
$21,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Qwen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,783
N/A
N/A
$18,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon Nova

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,126
N/A
N/A
$11,126
Settled
No
kalshi

Grok

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,289
N/A
N/A
$4,021
Settled
No
kalshi

Dola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,273
N/A
N/A
$2,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Muse

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,885
N/A
N/A
$1,885
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks which major technology company will have the top-ranked large language model as of April 18, 2026. The outcome depends on the relative performance and capabilities of LLMs developed by leading AI companies at that future date. It essentially forecasts which organization will lead the LLM landscape at that specific point in time.