TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Best AI this week?
kalshi

Best AI this week?

Volume:
$285,947

Claude

 - Kalshi

Claude - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Claude

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,439
N/A
N/A
$39,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132,669
N/A
N/A
$122,800
Settled
No
kalshi

Qwen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,340
N/A
N/A
$36,340
Settled
No
kalshi

Gemini

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,240
N/A
N/A
$23,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon Nova

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,009
N/A
N/A
$20,009
Settled
No
kalshi

Grok

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,921
N/A
N/A
$13,921
Settled
No
kalshi

Muse

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,966
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
No
kalshi

Dola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,363
N/A
N/A
$4,363
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks whether Meta will have the top-ranked large language model among major AI developers by late May 2026. On Kalshi, the probability that Meta achieves this distinction stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official LLM rankings as of May 30, 2026, according to the specified resolution source. Watch for major model releases and benchmark results from Meta, Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, and other leading AI labs leading up to the May 30, 2026 resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

The Best AI this week dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this Science and Technology prediction market. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $98,073. The dashboard aggregates order flow and contract pricing to show how traders are positioning on which AI development or announcement will be deemed best this week. Total group volume stands at $285,947, reflecting sustained trader interest in this event.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may issue qualitative assessments of AI breakthroughs or product launches, prediction markets price in aggregate trader expectations with financial incentives for accuracy. The market's current odds incorporate recent developments, media sentiment, and expert commentary, but traders may weight near-term catalysts differently than research firms. This dynamic pricing often reveals where consensus opinion differs from market-implied probabilities.

The Best AI this week market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution hinges on identifying which AI system, model, or announcement is judged best during the specified period. Traders should monitor announcements from major AI labs, benchmark releases, product launches, and industry recognition to anticipate the resolution criteria. The exact determination method is set by the platform's resolution team and may reference news coverage, expert consensus, or pre-defined metrics. Clarity on resolution criteria helps traders calibrate their positions as the end date approaches.

Major AI announcements, model releases, and benchmark results are the primary catalysts for this market. Watch for new foundation model launches, significant performance improvements, breakthroughs in reasoning or multimodal capabilities, and industry awards or recognition. Regulatory developments, partnerships, or funding announcements involving leading AI companies could also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and social media momentum around specific AI systems may influence market perception of which is best. Unexpected technical failures or competitive announcements could rapidly reprrice odds as traders reassess the landscape.