TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Best AI this week
kalshi

Best AI this week

Volume:
$487,256

Claude

 - Kalshi

Claude - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 2, 2026

Closed: May 2, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Claude

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$193,933
N/A
N/A
$102,343
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$176,804
N/A
N/A
$132,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Gemini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,365
N/A
N/A
$35,009
Settled
No
kalshi

Grok

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,884
N/A
N/A
$31,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Qwen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,521
N/A
N/A
$28,517
Settled
No
kalshi

Amazon Nova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,413
N/A
N/A
$11,403
Settled
No
kalshi

Dola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,637
N/A
N/A
$3,628
Settled
No
kalshi

Muse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$699
N/A
N/A
$686
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event determines which major technology company will have developed the top-ranked large language model globally as of May 2, 2026, reflecting the competitive landscape of AI development among leading organizations.