TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
Science and Technology
Best AI model on May 23? (Style Control Off)
polymarket

Best AI model on May 23? (Style Control Off)

Volume:
$10,123

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Polymarket

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 23, 2026

Closed: May 22, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

muse-spark

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,084
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

qwen3.5-max-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gemini-3-pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$948
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

claude-opus-4-7

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

claude-opus-4-6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.2¢
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.