TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Best AI model on April 24? (Style Control Off)
polymarket

Best AI model on April 24? (Style Control Off)

Volume:
$46,409

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

 - Polymarket

claude-opus-4-6-thinking - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 24, 2026

Closed: Apr 23, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

claude-opus-4-7-thinking

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,873
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

claude-opus-4-6

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

claude-opus-4-7

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gpt-5.4-high

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gemini-3.1-pro-preview

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

muse-spark

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

gemini-3-pro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.