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Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place
polymarket

Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place

Volume:
$81,356

Rui Costa

 - Polymarket

Rui Costa - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 7:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Rui Costa

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$44,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jaques Wagner

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

João Roma

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angelo Coronel

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Professora Delliana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcelo Millet

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Carlos Sodré

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcelo Santtana

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$775
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcelo Carvalho

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gregorio Gould

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Polymarket

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bahia Senate 1st place race tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume. It visualizes how traders on Polymarket are positioning themselves ahead of the election, showing the top outcome’s likelihood and liquidity changes over time. The view includes historical price charts and current volume of $2,456 to help users gauge market momentum and sentiment for this specific political contest.

On Polymarket, the current odds in this market reflect trader sentiment about the Bahia Senate 1st place race. While polling averages offer another perspective, prediction markets often price in real-time information and betting behavior, which can diverge from traditional surveys. Traders may react to recent developments, campaign performance, or shifting voter sentiment faster than polls are conducted. This can lead to differences between market probabilities and polling averages, especially in dynamic political environments. The gap highlights how market participants interpret new data, sometimes anticipating shifts that polls have not yet captured.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally of valid votes will determine the first-place finisher, and the market will close based on officially recognized data from authoritative electoral sources at that time.

Key debates, polling updates, campaign endorsements, or any major controversy involving candidates could shift this market. Economic announcements, federal policy changes, or regional voting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the election approaches, smaller polling swings or media coverage surges often produce noticeable price adjustments, reflecting evolving expectations for who will finish first.