TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar at a specific future date and time. Participants assess whether the exchange rate will exceed various thresholds, allowing them to speculate on currency strength based on economic forecasts and market sentiment.
All markets resolve based on the AUDUSD exchange rate's opening value at 5pm ET on October 23, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a specific threshold; if the rate exceeds that threshold at the specified time, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. The resolution uses the most recent available data from Pyth if no data exists at exactly 5pm ET. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate are disregarded. All rates are rounded to four decimal places for resolution purposes.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds offered in this market to traditional analyst forecasts. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment than standard polls or analyst predictions. This can lead to differences in expectations for the AUDUSD exchange rate. While analysts may focus on economic indicators and central bank policy, this market reflects the collective judgment of traders anticipating the outcome by Oct 23, 2026.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the AUDUSD exchange rate at 5:00 PM EDT on October 23rd is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider and compared to the 0.683 threshold. Traders holding contracts predicting the rate will be above 0.683 will be paid out if the rate meets that condition, while those betting against it will not. The outcome is determined by the actual exchange rate at the specified time.
Several factors could significantly influence the AUDUSD exchange rate and, consequently, this market. Unexpected economic data releases from Australia or the United States, such as inflation figures or employment reports, could trigger substantial price movements. Changes in monetary policy by the Reserve Bank of Australia or the Federal Reserve are also key catalysts. Geopolitical events or shifts in global risk sentiment could also impact the AUDUSD exchange rate before Oct 23, 2026, leading to fluctuations in the odds offered in this market.