TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Financials
AUDUSD price on Oct 09 at 5:00 PM EDT
kalshi

What will AUDUSD be on Oct 09?

Volume:
$1,984

Above 0.697

 - Kalshi

Above 0.697 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0.697

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.693

100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
$399
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.695

100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.685

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.687

100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.689

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.691

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.699

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
$104
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.701

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.705

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.703

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.707

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.709

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.675

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.677

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.679

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.681

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.683

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 0.711

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.713

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

These markets track whether the Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUDUSD) exchange rate will exceed specific thresholds at a precise moment. The outcome depends solely on the rate observed at the exact closing time, without considering any subsequent changes.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the AUDUSD exchange rate's opening candlestick value at 5pm ET on October 9, 2026, as published by Pyth. Each market has a unique threshold; if the rate exceeds its respective threshold at that moment, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Post-expiration revisions to the exchange rate are disregarded. Values are rounded to four decimal places, and if Pyth lacks data for the exact time, the most recent available value is used. The resolution strictly adheres to the specified thresholds and timing, ensuring consistency across all markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the AUDUSD price market tracks the current implied probability of different price ranges for the Australian Dollar versus the US Dollar. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has priced the event over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $66. The total volume traded in this market is $1,984. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the AUDUSD exchange rate.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on economic models and geopolitical assessments, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of informed opinions. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk tolerances, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market anticipate outcomes that diverge from consensus analyst expectations, potentially offering valuable insights beyond conventional financial analysis.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different AUDUSD price ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that price range being the correct one at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their own research and beliefs, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential AUDUSD price. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, adjusting prices accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the AUDUSD exchange rate at 5:00 PM EDT on October 9th is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to the value of 100 minus the absolute difference between the final AUDUSD price and the market’s midpoint. This means the closer the actual price is to the midpoint, the higher the payout for those who predicted correctly. The outcome is determined by a publicly available, authoritative source for the AUDUSD exchange rate.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 9, 2026. Unexpected economic data releases from either Australia or the United States, such as inflation reports, employment figures, or GDP growth, could trigger substantial price movements. Geopolitical events, including shifts in global trade tensions or political instability, also have the potential to impact currency valuations. Furthermore, any surprise announcements from the Reserve Bank of Australia or the Federal Reserve regarding monetary policy could drive significant activity in this market.