TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

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420,368

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Arizona Governor Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the Arizona Governor election?

Oct 16, 2026, 12:25 AM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Katie Hobbs (D)

 - Opinion

Katie Hobbs (D) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:04h:09m

Katie Hobbs (D)

98%chance
Amount

$

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opinion

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At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% APY not meaningful
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Katie Hobbs (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 9m
Active
opinion

Andy Biggs (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 9m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Arizona Governor election tracks the implied probability of each candidate winning, based on trading activity. It displays the current odds, a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $0. The total volume traded on this market is $0. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see how predictions are evolving as new information becomes available regarding the election.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls aim to capture a snapshot of current voter intentions, this market aggregates informed speculation about the likely outcome, factoring in not just stated preferences but also strategic considerations and potential unforeseen events. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to more accurately forecast election results than polls alone, though discrepancies can and do occur. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming an opinion about the Arizona Governor election.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the relevant election authorities for the Arizona Governor election. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official count will be declared the winner, and that will determine the settlement of this market. Traders should monitor news sources for the official announcement to understand when the market will be finalized.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major developments in the campaigns, such as significant fundraising announcements, endorsements from influential figures, or impactful debate performances, could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected economic news or national political events could also influence predictions. Furthermore, any polling data releases showing substantial changes in voter preferences would likely cause adjustments in the odds. Finally, any controversies or scandals involving the candidates could lead to considerable market volatility.