TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
Apple (AAPL) closes week of Nov 2 at ___?
polymarket

What will Apple's (AAPL) close be Nov 6?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$458
Volume 24h:
$31
69%
Liquidity:
$4,056
34%
Open interest:
$458N/A

<$320

 - Polymarket

<$320 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:17h:15m

Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?

26%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$320

Trade
26%
16%
Yes 44¢No 92¢
36¢
$705
$300
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

>$365

Trade
16%
1%
Yes 44¢No 78¢
—
$113
$158
25%
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$320-$325

Trade
24%
11%
Yes 44¢No 96¢
40¢
$653
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$325-$330

Trade
25%
17%
Yes 44¢No 94¢
38¢
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$330-$335

Trade
25%
16%
Yes 44¢No 94¢
38¢
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$335-$340

Trade
24%
13%
Yes 44¢No 97¢
41¢
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$340-$345

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 19¢No 99¢
18¢
$533
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$345-$350

Trade
11%
1%
Yes 20¢No 98¢
18¢
$554
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$350-$355

Trade
22%
12%
Yes 43¢No 99¢
42¢
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$355-$360

Trade
22%
14%
Yes 43¢No 99¢
42¢
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
polymarket

$360-$365

Trade
20%
14%
Yes 20¢No 90¢
—
$542
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 17h 15m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple closing price market displays the current implied probabilities for various price ranges that Apple (AAPL) stock might reach at the close of trading on the week of November 2nd. You'll find a visual representation of these probabilities, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $458, and the 24-hour volume, which is $131. The dashboard also shows the price history of the market, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time, and the top outcome currently has a chance percentage of 26.0%.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket regarding Apple's stock price. These odds can be compared to traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. If analysts generally predict a specific price range for Apple, this market will show whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment, and to what degree. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or differing perspectives on the company's future performance, or simply reflect the differing time horizons of the forecasts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible Apple closing prices. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that price occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest sentiment. The market's liquidity, as indicated by the volume of $458, influences how efficiently prices reflect this sentiment, and the 24-hour volume is $131.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock on the final day of trading during the week of November 2nd will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the closing price range, based on the contract they held. Traders should monitor reliable financial news sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the final stock price.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Major company announcements from Apple, such as earnings reports or new product launches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic news, including inflation data, interest rate decisions, and overall market sentiment, could also influence investor behavior and move the market. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant shifts in the technology sector could also play a role. Any news that alters perceptions of Apple's future growth prospects is likely to be reflected in the trading activity of this market.