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Science and Technology
Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on October 19?
polymarket

Will Apple close above its price on October 19?

Volume:
$9,944

$340

 - Polymarket

$340 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 4:47 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$340

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$335

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$345

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$350

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$355

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on October 19, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Apple stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Apple (AAPL) closing above a certain price on October 19, 2026. It also displays the trading volume, currently at $9,944, and the 24-hour volume, which is $9,944. Users can view the price history of the market, allowing them to analyze how predictions have shifted over time. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment regarding Apple’s future stock performance as expressed by traders on this venue.

Currently, the implied probabilities within this market reflect a collective prediction about Apple’s stock price. These predictions are often compared to those made by financial analysts, who use fundamental and technical analysis to forecast future stock performance. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access. If analysts generally predict a price increase, we might see higher probabilities in this market, and vice versa. However, prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information more quickly than traditional analysis, potentially offering a different perspective on the same question.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Apple closing above the specified price on October 19, 2026. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The volume traded also influences price discovery, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the market’s assessment.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple (AAPL) stock on October 19, 2026, will be used to determine whether the market resolves positively or negatively. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Oct 19, 2026. Major company announcements from Apple, such as earnings reports, new product launches, or significant strategic shifts, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like interest rate changes or overall market trends, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry-specific news impacting the technology sector could also shift sentiment and move the market. Any news that alters investor perception of Apple’s future prospects has the potential to impact trading activity.