TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Apple (AAPL) above … on October 26?
opinion

Apple (AAPL) above … on October 26?

Volume:
$0

340

 - Opinion

340 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:04 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

340

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

345

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

350

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

355

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

360

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Apple (AAPL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Apple (AAPL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Apple stock market tracks the current odds of the stock price being above a certain level on October 26, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, as well as the trading volume over the past 24 hours, currently at $0. The total volume traded in this market is $0. The dashboard also displays the top outcome and its implied probability, providing a quick overview of where traders are placing their bets on the future performance of Apple stock.

Currently, prediction market participants believe there is a chance Apple's stock will be above the specified price on the resolution date. This contrasts with typical analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not readily available in traditional analyses. This market offers a different perspective on future outcomes than traditional financial forecasts, allowing for a comparison of expectations.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of the stock being above the target price on the resolution date. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning that as more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations regarding Apple’s stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Apple stock on that date will be checked against the target price defined within the market. If the stock price is above the target, the market will resolve positively; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the outcome of this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Apple regarding new products, earnings reports, or changes in leadership would likely cause shifts in trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators, such as interest rate changes or overall market trends, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to the technology sector or Apple’s competitors could also move the market. Any event that alters perceptions of Apple’s future growth potential has the capacity to influence trading activity and, consequently, the odds in this market.