TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)
kalshi

Anthropic share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume:
$27,741

Above 34%

 - Kalshi

Above 34% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 34%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,110
N/A
N/A
$7,110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 31%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,158
N/A
N/A
$6,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 40%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,418
N/A
N/A
$5,418
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 37%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,879
N/A
N/A
$4,879
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 43%

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,450
N/A
N/A
$2,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 46%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,726
N/A
N/A
$1,726
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the proportion of AI development resources allocated to Anthropic through Vercel by leading research institutions on a specific date. It reflects potential shifts in strategic priorities and partnerships within the AI development ecosystem. The outcome depends on whether Anthropic's share surpasses various predefined thresholds.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Anthropic’s share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, processed through Vercel, exceeds specified percentage thresholds as of September 24, 2026. Resolution occurs at 10:00 AM ET on September 25, 2026, using the updated value from the relevant chart, rounded to one decimal place. All markets share the same measurement methodology and disclaimer regarding Kalshi’s lack of affiliation with Vercel, emphasizing that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners. Each market corresponds to a distinct threshold (31%, 34%, 37%, 40%, 43%, or 46%), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the measured share surpasses the respective threshold, and 'No' otherwise.