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$1,971,286,090

419,492

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Amusement Parks Ad Spend in October
kalshi

How will ad spend change in October?

Oct 1, 2026, 12:00 AM EST - Nov 13, 2026, 1:30 AM EST
Total volume:
$11,928
Volume 24h:
$2,774N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$4,703
0%

Above 105

 - Kalshi

Above 105 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 13, 2026

Time left: 10d:02h:31m

Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 105?

96%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 96% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 33% 10 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 105

Trade
96%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$966
0%
5%
$374
1w 3d 2h
Active
kalshi

Above 120

Trade
46%
Yes 47¢No 54¢
1¢
N/A
$7,870
0%
36%
$2,891
1w 3d 2h
Active
kalshi

Above 155

Trade
4%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$2,774
0%
3%
$1,281
1w 3d 2h
Active
kalshi

Above 280

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$194
0%
115%
$94
1w 3d 2h
Active
kalshi

Above 195

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$125
0%
89%
$64
1w 3d 2h
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks projected advertising expenditures for amusement parks and attractions, measuring how they compare to the same period in the previous year. The index provides a clear indicator of growth or decline in ad spending, reflecting broader trends in marketing investment for the industry.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Carbon Arc Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend in October 2026, each corresponding to a distinct market outcome. All markets resolve based on the finalized Carbon Arc index value recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 5th calendar day after October 2026 ends. The index measures year-over-year performance, with 100 representing parity to the prior year, values above 100 indicating growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (105, 120, 155, 195, or 280) that, if exceeded by the index, results in a 'Yes' resolution for that market. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with Carbon Arc, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the amusement park ad spend market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, providing insight into what traders believe will happen with ad spending in October. Currently, the total volume for this market is $11,928, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to gauge market interest and potential liquidity as they consider their own predictions.

Currently, it’s important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically targeting amusement park ad spend for October. However, general economic forecasts and consumer spending predictions could offer a point of comparison. If analysts predict a strong consumer economy, one might expect higher ad spend, and therefore higher prices on outcomes reflecting that expectation in this market. Discrepancies between this market and broader economic indicators could present opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the market participants regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe ad spend will be higher, they’ll bid up the price of contracts reflecting that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual amusement park ad spend for October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on publicly available data regarding total ad spend by major amusement park companies during that month. The specific data source will be determined by Kalshi and verified to ensure accuracy and reliability. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the final reported ad spend figures.

Several factors could influence trading in this market. Major economic reports related to consumer confidence or disposable income could shift expectations about spending on leisure activities like amusement parks. Announcements from major amusement park companies regarding their marketing plans or financial performance would also be significant. Unexpected events, such as weather patterns impacting park attendance, or shifts in broader advertising trends, could also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be key for traders looking to capitalize on changing market sentiment.