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420,493

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American Airlines Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

What is the American Airlines credit card spend index for September?

Volume:
$21,807

Above 102

 - Kalshi

Above 102 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:10 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,481
N/A
N/A
$1,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 97

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,809
N/A
N/A
$2,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,184
N/A
N/A
$1,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,837
N/A
N/A
$906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,012
N/A
N/A
$1,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 115

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,660
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 110

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
$277
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 112

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

These markets track projected year-over-year changes in American Airlines credit card spending for September 2026, using an index where 100 represents equal spending compared to the same month last year. Higher index values indicate greater growth in spending compared to the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for the American Airlines Credit Card Spend index for September 2026. The index reflects year-over-year changes in spending, with 100 indicating no change from the prior year, values above 100 showing growth, and values below 100 indicating decline. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., above 97, above 100, above 102, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes if the reported index exceeds that threshold. Any corrections or revisions to the data after the market settlement date will not affect the outcome. The index is derived from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, compared to the same period in the previous year, and updates daily as new transaction data becomes available.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the American Airlines credit card spend market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Kalshi. It provides a snapshot of trader sentiment and market activity specifically for this prediction, allowing users to monitor how expectations for American Airlines' credit card spending evolve over time.

Currently, this market reflects a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may lean toward a more conservative or optimistic view, traders on Kalshi are pricing in their own expectations based on available data, news flow, and market sentiment. The gap between these two perspectives can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging trends worth watching.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect the officially reported American Airlines credit card spend for the specified month, drawn from authoritative financial disclosures and verified sources.

Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary spending reports, airline earnings calls mentioning credit card trends, changes in consumer confidence affecting travel spending, and macroeconomic indicators influencing discretionary expenditures. Any surprise announcements from American Airlines or its partners would also likely create noticeable movement in trader positioning before resolution.