TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$268

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$134
$268
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $264, and the total volume traded to date, which is $268. This allows you to see how much activity there is in this market and how traders are positioning themselves. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding Amazon’s stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts frequently issue price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of information and potential catalysts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions about future events, risk tolerance, and the speed at which information is incorporated. It’s common to see this market anticipate changes before they are reflected in consensus analyst ratings.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon’s stock between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM Eastern Time on October 29th will determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘Up’ or ‘Down’. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data from established sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several factors could significantly move this market before resolution. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence investor sentiment towards Amazon. Company-specific news, including earnings announcements, product launches, or changes in leadership, would also likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in consumer spending patterns could also play a role. Any news that alters the perceived future prospects of Amazon’s business is likely to be reflected in the price action of this market.