TOTAL VOLUME:

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$323,326,361

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2,984,640,614

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$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Kalshi:

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Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4PM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$252

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4PM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 4:00 PM EST

predict

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predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T19:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T19:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, the price history reflecting trader sentiment, and the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $252. You can also see the total volume traded to date, which is $252. This information provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are forecasting the performance of Amazon stock. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, influencing the probabilities displayed.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a diverse range of opinions and potential information. This can lead to discrepancies, as the market may incorporate factors not fully captured in standard analyses. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and sentiment shifts than traditional forecasts.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon stock between 3:45 PM and 4:00 PM Eastern Time on October 27th will determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘Up’ or ‘Down’. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their positions.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Major catalysts include earnings reports, significant news regarding Amazon’s business operations (like new product launches or regulatory changes), and broader economic indicators that impact the tech sector. Unexpected announcements from competitors, shifts in consumer spending patterns, or even influential analyst upgrades or downgrades could also trigger substantial price movements. Overall market sentiment and macroeconomic factors will also play a role in shaping trader behavior.