TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11AM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$335

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
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predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$109
$335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, along with the total volume traded—currently at $335—and the 24-hour volume, which stands at $332. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and participation levels. The dashboard also displays price history, providing a record of how the probabilities have shifted over time, offering insights into potential trends and investor behavior surrounding this particular market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on financial modeling and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and potential catalysts. Often, prediction markets can provide an earlier signal of changing expectations than analyst reports, as they react in real-time to news and events. However, it’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses, and discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information sets.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Amazon stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The current trading volume indicates the level of interest and conviction among participants in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon stock between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM ET on October 26th will determine whether the market settles in the 'Up' or 'Down' state. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders should monitor news and market activity leading up to this date to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence overall market sentiment and impact Amazon’s stock price. Company-specific news, including earnings announcements, product launches, or changes in leadership, would also be key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in consumer spending patterns could also play a role. Any news that alters investor perceptions of Amazon’s future growth prospects is likely to cause fluctuations in this market.