TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET
predict

Will Amazon.com, Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$35

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 AM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
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24h
7d
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predict

Amazon.com, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$10
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the AMZN/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the AMZN/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/amzn-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink AMZN/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, along with the total volume traded – currently $35 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $35. The dashboard also displays price history, allowing you to see how the market has fluctuated over time. This provides a comprehensive overview of trader sentiment regarding Amazon’s performance.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a probability distribution of potential outcomes. This can lead to divergences, particularly when there’s significant uncertainty or disagreement about Amazon’s future performance. It’s common to see prediction markets anticipate events before they are widely recognized by analysts, or to assign different probabilities to various scenarios.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether Amazon’s stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and the market aims to be a highly liquid and efficient indicator of expectations. The volume traded provides insight into the confidence level behind the prevailing price.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon stock between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM ET on October 23rd will determine whether the market settles in the ‘Up’ or ‘Down’ direction. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the final result of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could influence investor sentiment towards Amazon. Company-specific news, including earnings announcements, product launches, or changes in leadership, would also be key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in broader market trends could also impact the stock price and, consequently, the odds in this market. Any news that affects overall consumer spending or confidence could also play a role.