TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.8b

24H VOL:

$153,964,051

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,815,744,871

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,809,858,743

498,684

Markets across

37,244

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,831

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Amazon headcount in Q3
kalshi

Amazon headcount in Q3

Aug 3, 2026, 10:56 PM EST - Feb 24, 2027, 11:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$68,666
Volume 24h:
$138
98%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$25,758
0.29%

Above 1.54 million

 - Kalshi

Above 1.54 million - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 24, 2027

Will Amazon.com Inc. report Above 1.54 million employees (full-time & part-time, excl. contractors/temps) in Q3 2026?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 6% 123 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 1.54 million

Trade
98%
1%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$5,948
0.17%
2%
$1,917
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.56 million

Trade
96%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$16,368
0%
0%
$5,475
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.58 million

Trade
94%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$13,078
0%
0%
$3,666
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.6 million

Trade
78%
Yes 79¢No 22¢
1¢
N/A
$6,535
0.46%
3%
$3,406
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.62 million

Trade
45%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
N/A
$5,561
2%
8%
$2,240
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.64 million

Trade
19%
Yes 20¢No 81¢
1¢
N/A
$2,665
0.13%
12%
$1,052
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.66 million

Trade
5%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$7,758
0%
8%
$3,712
4mo 3d
active
kalshi

Above 1.68 million

Trade
3%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$10,753
0%
23%
$4,290
4mo 3d
active
Total markets: 8

Description

Amazon's total employee count (full-time and part-time, excluding contractors and temps) for Q3 2026 will be assessed against thresholds from 1.54 million to 1.68 million workers. The official quarterly report provides the data for resolution.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on Amazon.com Inc.'s officially reported employee count (full-time and part-time, excluding contractors/temps) for Q3 2026. Sequential thresholds from 1.54 million to 1.68 million workers determine market outcomes, with each market resolving to Yes if the reported figure exceeds its specific threshold. The highest met threshold dictates final resolution across all markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the Amazon Q3 headcount market, along with its 24-hour volume of $138. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different employee counts being reported by Amazon for the third quarter. The page updates in real time to reflect market activity and gives you a snapshot of investor sentiment leading up to the resolution date.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome displaying a chance of 98.0%. The market’s price history reflects all recent trades and provides a live indicator of collective belief about Amazon’s Q3 employee count. Volume of $68,666 shows overall interest, while any gaps or spikes in pricing often follow major news that could affect hiring or layoffs in the sector.

This market resolves around Feb 25, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final headcount figure will be compared against the market’s defined categories, and the result will be finalized based on widely accepted public records.

Several signals could shift expectations for this market before Feb 25, 2027. Key catalysts include Amazon’s official earnings releases, workforce announcements such as large hiring drives or restructuring plans, macroeconomic data influencing tech spending, and sector-wide trends reported by competitors. Any surprise guidance from management during conferences or interviews may also cause rapid repricing as traders adjust their bets based on new information.