TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

What will Amazon's credit card spend index be in September?

Volume:
$182,374

Above 116

 - Kalshi

Above 116 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:12 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 116

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,424
N/A
N/A
$18,122
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 110

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22,610
N/A
N/A
$4,561
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 112

View
100%
96%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,380
N/A
N/A
$6,594
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 108

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,975
N/A
N/A
$4,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 106

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,855
N/A
N/A
$5,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,336
N/A
N/A
$4,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 96

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,755
N/A
N/A
$7,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 100

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,027
N/A
N/A
$7,821
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 102

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,289
N/A
N/A
$4,598
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 128

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,435
N/A
N/A
$2,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,129
N/A
N/A
$3,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 140

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,758
N/A
N/A
$2,320
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 124

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 132

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 136

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,200
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

These markets assess Amazon's credit card spending performance for September 2026, using a year-over-year index calculated from aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transactions. Higher index values reflect increased spending compared to the same month in the previous year.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the Carbon Arc Amazon Credit Card Spend index for September 2026, with each market requiring the index to exceed a specific threshold value ranging from 96 to 116. The determining value is the first report published by Carbon Arc, and any subsequent corrections or revisions after market settlement are disregarded. The index represents year-over-year change, where 100 indicates equal spending to the prior year, values above 100 show growth, and values below 100 indicate decline. The data comes from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily with new arrivals, and matched to the same period of the prior year for comparison.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Amazon Credit Card Spend market on Kalshi tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $72,555. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for Amazon credit cards in September. This real-time view reflects market sentiment and can highlight shifts in expectations as new data emerges.

Currently, odds from this market suggest a different outlook than many analyst forecasts. While analysts may project a specific range based on historical trends and economic indicators, traders are pricing in additional variables such as consumer behavior changes or promotional events. The gap between these two perspectives can offer early warning signs of unexpected market moves.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual spend figures released by Amazon for the September period, closing all positions based on the verified data.

Key signals include monthly consumer spending reports, economic announcements affecting discretionary spending, and any major promotions or changes in Amazon’s credit card offerings. Unexpected shifts in consumer confidence or macroeconomic conditions could also cause rapid re-pricing in this market as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the final data release.