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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?
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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?

Volume:
$16,546

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?

 - Polymarket

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26? - Polymarket

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Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 6:05 PM EST

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Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down on October 26. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $16,437. Total volume for this market is $16,546. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities based on how others are positioning themselves before the event.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for Amazon. While many analysts are providing price targets and buy/sell recommendations, this market allows traders to express their beliefs about a specific binary outcome – whether the stock will be up or down on Oct 26, 2026. This can be a useful comparison point, as the market reflects the collective wisdom of participants willing to put capital behind their predictions, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome, and the price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Amazon’s stock closing up or down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe the stock will go up, the price of the 'up' shares will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most current collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on October 26 will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of 'up' or 'down'. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring transparency and accuracy in the resolution process. Traders should monitor the market closely as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major economic data releases, such as inflation reports or GDP figures, could impact overall market sentiment and affect Amazon’s stock price. Company-specific news, like earnings announcements, product launches, or significant partnerships, will also be key catalysts. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in regulatory policies could also introduce volatility and influence trading activity in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.