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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

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Amazon (AMZN) closes week of Nov 2 at ___?
polymarket

How will Amazon (AMZN) close Nov 2 week?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$525
Volume 24h:
$135
2,268%
Liquidity:
$5,171
45%
Open interest:
$525N/A

$225-$230

 - Polymarket

$225-$230 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:21h:27m

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 25.9¢ buys you 386 shares | Odds: 14% Total Payout: $386 | Net Profit: $286 Multiplier: 3.86x | ROI: 286% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$225-$230

Trade
14%
9%
Yes 25.9¢No 98.4¢
24.3¢
$719
$490
26%
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$230-$235

Trade
8%
33%
Yes 11¢No 96¢
7¢
$208
$10
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$215-$220

Trade
2%
16%
Yes 4¢No 99.7¢
3.7¢
$284
$25
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

<$215

Trade
13%
21%
Yes 25.9¢No 99.6¢
25.5¢
$314
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$220-$225

Trade
11%
23%
Yes 20¢No 98.9¢
18.9¢
$1,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$235-$240

Trade
18%
27%
Yes 26¢No 90¢
16¢
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$240-$245

Trade
19%
1%
Yes 26¢No 88¢
14¢
$409
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$245-$250

Trade
21%
Yes 26¢No 85¢
11¢
$271
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$250-$255

Trade
20%
7%
Yes 26¢No 87¢
13¢
$248
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

$255-$260

Trade
17%
Yes 26¢No 92¢
18¢
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
polymarket

>$260

Trade
16%
Yes 24¢No 93¢
17¢
$723
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 21h 27m
Active
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for Amazon (AMZN) stock at the close of trading on the week of November 2nd. You can view the odds for each potential outcome, as well as a history of how those odds have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $135, and the total volume traded to date, which is $525. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding Amazon's stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast for Amazon's stock price that may differ from traditional analyst estimates. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the views of many traders, expressing their beliefs as probabilities for different price levels. It’s important to note that analysts’ forecasts are based on models and reports, while this market represents a real-money view of where the stock will close. Comparing this market to analyst consensus can reveal whether traders are more or less optimistic about Amazon's near-term performance than experts.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential closing prices for Amazon stock. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that price occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations. The current top outcome, with a chance of 20.5%, is for Amazon to close within a specific price range, indicating the most likely scenario according to traders on the platform.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the final day of trading during the week of November 2nd will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the closing price range. It’s important to note that the resolution will rely on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Major company announcements from Amazon, such as earnings reports or new product launches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment and, consequently, the stock price. Unexpected news related to the retail sector or Amazon's competitors could also move this market. Finally, any significant geopolitical events or shifts in market risk appetite could affect trading activity and the overall probability assessments reflected in this market.