TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 26?
polymarket

Will Amazon close above its price on October 26?

Volume:
$719

$245

 - Polymarket

$245 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:54 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$245

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$240

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$250

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$255

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on October 26, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Amazon closing above a certain price on Oct 26, 2026. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $719 and the total market volume of $719. This allows you to quickly gauge market sentiment and how actively traders are participating in this prediction. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the market is evolving as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong expectation that Amazon will close above a certain price on Oct 26, 2026. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more varied outlook on the stock’s performance. While traditional polls and analyst reports rely on subjective assessments and models, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders who have ‘skin in the game.’ The difference between these viewpoints highlights how prediction markets can offer a unique perspective on future events, reflecting the aggregated beliefs of those willing to put capital behind their predictions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Amazon closing above the specified price on Oct 26, 2026. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, earnings reports, and overall market sentiment surrounding Amazon.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on that date will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the ‘yes’ outcome (closing above the specified price) or the ‘no’ outcome (closing at or below the specified price). The resolution will be based on official stock market data and will be publicly available following the close of trading on Oct 26, 2026.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major catalysts include Amazon’s quarterly earnings reports, significant news regarding its cloud computing business (AWS), and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected announcements about new product launches, regulatory changes impacting Amazon, or shifts in consumer spending patterns could also drive price movements. Additionally, overall market sentiment and investor confidence in the tech industry will play a role in shaping the probabilities reflected in this market.