TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Amapá Governor Election Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Amapá Governor election?

Volume:
$27,456

Dr. Furlan

 - Polymarket

Dr. Furlan - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 3:39 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Dr. Furlan

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100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
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$19,180
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Settled
Yes
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Clécio Luís

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0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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N/A
$5,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Marcos Reategui

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
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Jairo Palheta

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
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$1,311
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Settled
No
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Carlos Cley

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0%
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$497
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Settled
No
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Placeholder 20

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Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Polymarket

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Amapá Governor election market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for short_topic. It shows how traders price the likelihood of each candidate winning the 2026 gubernatorial race, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The dashboard highlights the top outcome’s probability and displays volume of $27,212 and 24-hour volume of $4,706, giving users insight into market dynamics as the election approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the election result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially recognized vote tallies and any post-election certifications or resolutions, ensuring the market settles based on authoritative, widely accepted data rather than speculation.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major polling updates, candidate debates, economic announcements from the state government, and developments around campaign scandals or endorsements. Any event that meaningfully alters traders’ expectations about voter sentiment or candidate viability is likely to cause price movements, especially as the election date approaches.