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$154.8b

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$238,896,186

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2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET
predict

Will Alphabet Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$206

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

 - Predict

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 AM EST

predict

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predict

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$10
$206
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Alphabet stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visual representation of the probabilities, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $206, with $203 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Alphabet’s performance.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Alphabet. While some analysts predict a continued upward trend based on recent earnings reports, this market’s pricing suggests a more nuanced outlook. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not fully captured in standard financial models. This dynamic can lead to divergences between prediction market probabilities and conventional analyst expectations.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Alphabet's stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of the stock closing up during the specified period. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements and a real-time assessment of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Alphabet Inc. stock between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM Eastern Time on October 23rd will determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘Up’ or ‘Down’. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected earnings announcements, major product releases from Alphabet, or significant shifts in broader market sentiment could all drive price movements. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor confidence and affect Alphabet’s stock price. Any news related to regulatory scrutiny or legal challenges facing Alphabet could also introduce volatility and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.