TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T14:45:00Z
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Alphabet. While some analysts predict a continued upward trend based on recent earnings reports, this market’s pricing suggests a more nuanced outlook. It’s important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially incorporating information not fully captured in standard financial models. This dynamic can lead to divergences between prediction market probabilities and conventional analyst expectations.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Alphabet's stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of the stock closing up during the specified period. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price movements and a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Alphabet Inc. stock between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM Eastern Time on October 23rd will determine whether the market settles in favor of ‘Up’ or ‘Down’. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected earnings announcements, major product releases from Alphabet, or significant shifts in broader market sentiment could all drive price movements. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor confidence and affect Alphabet’s stock price. Any news related to regulatory scrutiny or legal challenges facing Alphabet could also introduce volatility and shift the probabilities reflected in this market.