TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
predict

Will Alphabet Inc. be up or down?

Volume:
$681

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

 - Predict

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 2:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Alphabet Inc. Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T18:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the GOOGL/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the GOOGL/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/googl-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink GOOGL/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-22T18:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Alphabet stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down by the specified time. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $683. The total volume traded on this market is $681. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets regarding Alphabet’s performance, offering insight into market sentiment leading up to the event.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for Alphabet. While many analysts offer price targets and ratings, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a constantly updated assessment of the likelihood of an upward or downward movement in the stock price. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, and biases inherent in individual or institutional analysis versus the collective judgment expressed through trading activity in this market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Alphabet stock will close up or down by 2:30 PM ET on October 22nd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic valuation of the event's potential outcomes. This creates a market-driven forecast based on collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Alphabet stock between 2:15 PM and 2:30 PM ET on October 22nd will determine whether the market settles in favor of 'Up' or 'Down'. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data and will reflect the actual stock performance during that timeframe, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Major company announcements from Alphabet, such as earnings reports or product launches, would likely cause substantial price movement. Broader economic indicators, including inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment towards tech stocks. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant shifts in market trends could also contribute to volatility in this market. Any news that alters perceptions of Alphabet’s future performance has the potential to shift the odds.