TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

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2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

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4,365

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Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio?
polymarket

Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio?

Oct 15, 2026, 9:08 AM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 6:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$15,674
Volume 24h:
$247
76%
Liquidity:
$1,671
28%
Open interest:
$2,918N/A

86% to 88%

 - Polymarket

86% to 88% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:06h:03m

Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?

50%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 50% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

86% to 88%

Trade
50%
Yes 54¢No 55¢
9¢
$302
$9,722
2%
78%
N/A
2d 6h 3m
Active
polymarket

88% to 90%

Trade
24%
4%
Yes 37.1¢No 90¢
27.1¢
$343
$1,059
0%
58%
N/A
2d 6h 3m
Active
polymarket

<86%

Trade
24%
5%
Yes 34¢No 87¢
21¢
$329
$2,368
2%
45%
N/A
2d 6h 3m
Active
polymarket

90% to 92%

Trade
12%
4%
Yes 18.8¢No 94.8¢
13.6¢
$377
$1,251
0%
114%
N/A
2d 6h 3m
Active
polymarket

92%+

Trade
5%
Yes 8.5¢No 99.5¢
8¢
$319
$1,274
0%
25%
N/A
2d 6h 3m
Active
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Allstate combined ratio market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for Allstate's Q3 property-liability combined ratio. You'll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $171. The total volume traded on this market is $15,674, indicating the level of interest from forecasters. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see where the crowd believes the combined ratio will land.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. It’s interesting to compare this to traditional analyst estimates for Allstate’s combined ratio. Do analysts anticipate a ratio above or below 90%? Do their projections align with the probabilities shown in this market? Examining these differences can reveal whether the wisdom of the crowd diverges from, or confirms, expert opinions on Allstate’s financial performance. Tracking this comparison can offer valuable insights into market expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the final combined ratio. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and the greater the implied probability. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as data emerges regarding Allstate’s performance and the broader insurance landscape.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined ratio for Allstate’s Q3 property-liability business will be the determining factor. This ratio, calculated by dividing incurred losses plus expenses by earned premiums, will be sourced from Allstate’s official financial reports. The market will settle based on the reported value, providing a clear and objective outcome for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 4, 2026. Major weather events, such as hurricanes or wildfires, could lead to increased claims and a higher combined ratio. Changes in interest rates or reinsurance costs could also impact profitability. Furthermore, any announcements from Allstate regarding their Q3 performance, or broader economic indicators affecting the insurance industry, would likely cause shifts in trading activity. Unexpected litigation outcomes or regulatory changes could also move this market, as traders react to evolving risk assessments.