TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Financials
Abercrombie & Fitch Credit Card Spend in September
kalshi

Abercrombie & Fitch Credit Card Spend in September

Volume:
$95,838

Above 92

 - Kalshi

Above 92 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 12:12 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 92

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,180
N/A
N/A
$4,906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 88

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,305
N/A
N/A
$4,001
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 94

100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,615
N/A
N/A
$3,316
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 104

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,847
N/A
N/A
$5,293
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 108

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,914
N/A
N/A
$6,067
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 102

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,435
N/A
N/A
$3,249
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 96

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,383
N/A
N/A
$4,322
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 98

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,121
N/A
N/A
$5,033
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 100

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,452
N/A
N/A
$2,443
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 116

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,731
N/A
N/A
$1,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 120

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,222
N/A
N/A
$2,222
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 112

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$633
N/A
N/A
$483
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

These markets track projected credit card spending trends for Abercrombie & Fitch in September 2026, using a year-over-year index to gauge consumer behavior and financial performance. The outcomes depend on whether spending exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting broader economic indicators and consumer preferences.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the first value reported by Carbon Arc for Abercrombie & Fitch's credit card spend index in September 2026. The index measures year-over-year changes, with 100 representing equal spending compared to the same month last year. Values above 100 signify growth, while values below 100 indicate a decline. Each market has a unique threshold; if the reported index exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. Post-settlement corrections or revisions by Carbon Arc will not alter the outcome. The data comes from Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, updated daily. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with Abercrombie & Fitch or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Abercrombie & Fitch spend market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $21,306. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different spending outcomes for Abercrombie & Fitch in September, offering a visual snapshot of market sentiment and activity.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate a range of financial metrics and guidance, traders adjust prices based on current sentiment, recent news, and short-term expectations, which can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on officially released financial data that confirms Abercrombie & Fitch’s actual credit card spend for the September period, bringing closure to the market based on factual results.

Key signals that could shift this market include preliminary sales reports, earnings calls, economic indicators affecting consumer spending, and any major marketing campaigns or promotions from Abercrombie & Fitch. Unexpected news such as supply chain updates or changes in consumer behavior may also cause traders to adjust their positions as the resolution date approaches.