TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
kalshi

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?

Volume:
$975

4.89% or above

 - Kalshi

4.89% or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4.89% or above

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$101
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.71% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
$201
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.91% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.87% or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.73% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.81% or above

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.93% or above

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

4.95% or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105
N/A
N/A
$105
Settled
No
kalshi

4.75% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.77% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.79% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.83% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.85% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4.97% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

4.99% or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This set of markets tracks potential movements in the yield of 7-year U.S. Treasury bonds by setting different threshold levels for resolution. Each market evaluates whether the yield surpasses a specific benchmark on a set date, reflecting varied investor expectations about future interest rate directions.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury exceeds a specified threshold on October 26, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, incrementally increasing by 0.02 percentage points from 4.70% to 4.98%. Resolution occurs when the yield closes above the respective threshold on the specified date. Expiration is set at the sooner of two times: either 7:00 PM ET on the first business day following the data release for October 26, 2026, or one week after October 26, 2026. All markets share this uniform expiration framework, ensuring consistent timing across differing yield thresholds.